In the United States, it’s estimated that 66,000 Americans will die by August from COVID-19. This number has risen by 10% as officials warn a deadlier wave is possible this winter. The estimate has increased for a few reasons. First, we will continue to revise the number as we receive more data. Predictions will shift and become more accurate as more information is added to the main prediction model. When more Americans die in real-time, the projected number of deaths will also increase. Second, some states are now counting nursing home residents as presumed positive. And third, some regions are expected to allow certain businesses to open as early as Friday, April 24, 2020. An easing of restrictions means health officials expect an increase in the number of coronavirus-related deaths. Ultimately, this virus is opportunistic. If proper precautions are not taken, this virus will easily spread. 

Winter Is Coming

Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, warns that it is likely we’ll still be dealing with the coronavirus epidemic come this fall and winter. And fall and winter are when flu season will kick back into gear. So, having these viruses circulating at the same time could be a recipe for disaster because both affect the respiratory system. We’ve already seen hospitals and healthcare providers struggle to have protective gear, respirators, ventilators, and testing equipment. So, if these problems continue, our hospitals and healthcare system could become overwhelmed, which is exactly what we’ve been working to avoid. All of these considerations will impact patient care and survival rates.

Flu Shots In Winter

While a flu shot won’t protect you from the coronavirus, it is important to help protect you against the flu. I highly recommend everyone that is able to get a flu shot to do so before flu season starts. By staying healthy, you’ll help keep hospital beds open for those who become infected with the coronavirus and need medical attention. 

It’s also imperative everyone continues practicing prevention techniques like covering coughs and sneezes, disinfecting regularly touched surfaces, and frequent hand washing. We’ll likely also need to keep our six feet social distance. This is uncharted territory folks. But the one thing that is on our side is that we are all in this together. So, if we work together, we can overcome this virus – together. 

August may bring more US coronavirus deaths than expected, but next wave in winter could be worse